Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.001067 0.001152 0.001241 0.001344 0.001459 0.001584 0.001731
2025-12-07 0.000932 0.001042 0.001164 0.001313 0.001489 0.001694 0.001951
2025-12-14 0.000851 0.000974 0.001118 0.001298 0.001522 0.001793 0.002155
2025-12-21 0.000781 0.000912 0.001067 0.001268 0.001525 0.001851 0.002305
2025-12-28 0.000703 0.000832 0.000987 0.001192 0.001463 0.001815 0.002321
2026-01-04 0.000650 0.000777 0.000934 0.001146 0.001431 0.001812 0.002379
2026-01-11 0.000615 0.000744 0.000906 0.001129 0.001436 0.001858 0.002507
2026-01-18 0.000590 0.000721 0.000888 0.001123 0.001454 0.001921 0.002664
2026-01-25 0.000643 0.000803 0.001013 0.001319 0.001771 0.002445 0.003600
2026-02-01 0.000603 0.000759 0.000965 0.001269 0.001724 0.002417 0.003636
2026-02-08 0.000572 0.000724 0.000927 0.001232 0.001695 0.002414 0.003713
2026-02-15 0.000550 0.000701 0.000907 0.001217 0.001699 0.002463 0.003884
2026-02-22 0.000527 0.000679 0.000888 0.001210 0.001722 0.002558 0.004183
2026-03-01 0.000501 0.000650 0.000858 0.001185 0.001713 0.002602 0.004396
2026-03-08 0.000480 0.000628 0.000838 0.001172 0.001724 0.002679 0.004687
2026-03-15 0.000457 0.000603 0.000811 0.001146 0.001710 0.002708 0.004883
2026-03-22 0.000426 0.000563 0.000760 0.001080 0.001623 0.002597 0.004754
2026-03-29 0.000403 0.000535 0.000726 0.001039 0.001577 0.002555 0.004778
2026-04-05 0.000388 0.000519 0.000709 0.001025 0.001575 0.002600 0.005007
2026-04-12 0.000377 0.000507 0.000699 0.001020 0.001590 0.002677 0.005328
2026-04-19 0.000408 0.000559 0.000789 0.001191 0.001945 0.003502 0.007838
2026-04-26 0.000388 0.000534 0.000756 0.001146 0.001886 0.003434 0.007838
2026-05-03 0.000372 0.000513 0.000730 0.001114 0.001849 0.003411 0.007973